Business Case of New Product
Challenge
A leading steel manufacturing company was evaluating a greenfield investment to establish manufacturing capability for basked of steel casting products. Given the scale of capital commitment involved in a greenfield project, they needed a comprehensive, bottom-up business case to validate market demand, assess investment viability, and establish financial returns before seeking board approval.
Approach
- Assessed the addressable opportunity through a TAM-SAM-SOM framework across the target casting product basket, mapping demand from end-use industries (railways, wind turbines and other OEM castings).
- Conducted financial benchmarking of existing players in the casting industry, analyzed their margin profiles, capacity. utilization, and capital intensity, supplier/raw material availability (scrap, alloys, Mn steel) to understand the cost and operating dynamics.
- Developed a detailed capex estimate covering land, plant and machinery, utilities, and pre-operative expenses, along with a phased operating cost build-up, to arrive at a realistic profitability trajectory as the plant ramped up to full utilization.
- Prepared 3-statement financial model with five-year projections, capturing sensitivity to input cost and sales volume.
- Evaluated project returns using Payback Period, ROCE, NPV, and IRR.
Impact
- Validated market and financial viability of the proposed project.
- Identified key risks and prepared mitigation plan.
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